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Concern about supply means the risk premium in prices is on the rise. Iran is the major problem, but Nigeria coming on top makes matters worse. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Concern about supply means the risk premium in prices is on the rise. Iran is the major problem, but Nigeria coming on top makes matters worse.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Investors are now going to build a higher risk premium into their bottom line. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Investors are now going to build a higher risk premium into their bottom line.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The release will definitely be sufficient. Extra supply from government sources means I'm bearish about crude oil prices this week. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The release will definitely be sufficient. Extra supply from government sources means I'm bearish about crude oil prices this week.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Asian central banks have been huge buyers of Treasuries, so if they're going to be buying less to hold down their currencies, then Treasuries will fall. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Asian central banks have been huge buyers of Treasuries, so if they're going to be buying less to hold down their currencies, then Treasuries will fall.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

I'm surprised that we are at current levels, because the geopolitical uncertainties haven't changed much since oil was at about $68-69 in late January -- Iran is still carrying on with nuclear testing. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

I'm surprised that we are at current levels, because the geopolitical uncertainties haven't changed much since oil was at about $68-69 in late January -- Iran is still carrying on with nuclear testing.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The market has been responding to the uncertain political situation -- Iran, Nigeria and intensifying military activity in Iraq . - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The market has been responding to the uncertain political situation -- Iran, Nigeria and intensifying military activity in Iraq .

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Prices haven?t fallen by much because of the heavy refinery maintenance seen around March, which still raises some concerns over supply particularly for gasoline. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Prices haven?t fallen by much because of the heavy refinery maintenance seen around March, which still raises some concerns over supply particularly for gasoline.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The situation between Russia and Ukraine is a rather (supportive) factor for oil ... as the potential for (gas) supply disruption in Europe is having a correlating effect on other energy commodities including oil. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The situation between Russia and Ukraine is a rather (supportive) factor for oil ... as the potential for (gas) supply disruption in Europe is having a correlating effect on other energy commodities including oil.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

We might see a bigger drawdown than the market consensus. I expect refining rates to have gone up last week. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

We might see a bigger drawdown than the market consensus. I expect refining rates to have gone up last week.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Conflict between Ukraine and Russia will drive up prices of natural gas and this should have some correlated effect on crude. The only leverage that Ukraine has is that the pipeline to Europe goes through its territory. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Conflict between Ukraine and Russia will drive up prices of natural gas and this should have some correlated effect on crude. The only leverage that Ukraine has is that the pipeline to Europe goes through its territory.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

I think it's mostly the uncertainty regarding the situation in Iran and the very clear decision of the IAEA to refer the country to the UN Security Council. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

I think it's mostly the uncertainty regarding the situation in Iran and the very clear decision of the IAEA to refer the country to the UN Security Council.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Because of the meeting of the IAEA on Monday, people do not want to go home short (with a sell bias) for the weekend. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Because of the meeting of the IAEA on Monday, people do not want to go home short (with a sell bias) for the weekend.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The big one-day drop on Wednesday was a reaction to the stronger-than-expected build in crude and product stocks, while demand remained weak. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The big one-day drop on Wednesday was a reaction to the stronger-than-expected build in crude and product stocks, while demand remained weak.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The situation in Nigeria is likely to remain volatile for some time. Prices should rise because of disruptions in supply. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The situation in Nigeria is likely to remain volatile for some time. Prices should rise because of disruptions in supply.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Yes, there is less supply in Nigeria, but that is not enough to cut into oversupply. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Yes, there is less supply in Nigeria, but that is not enough to cut into oversupply.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Slower U.S. growth may reduce growth in oil demand in the second half of the year. We are seeing proof of reduced U.S. consumer confidence. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Slower U.S. growth may reduce growth in oil demand in the second half of the year. We are seeing proof of reduced U.S. consumer confidence.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

This being the last day of the week I expected prices to come down on profit-taking. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

This being the last day of the week I expected prices to come down on profit-taking.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The IAEA meeting is paramount in investors' minds, because it has the potential to alter the demand-supply equilibrium. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The IAEA meeting is paramount in investors' minds, because it has the potential to alter the demand-supply equilibrium.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Slower growth in producer prices makes China's exports more competitive, which means the nominal exchange rate can be allowed to appreciate without hurting exporters. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Slower growth in producer prices makes China's exports more competitive, which means the nominal exchange rate can be allowed to appreciate without hurting exporters.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The IAEA meeting is paramount on investors' minds, because it has the potential to alter the demand supply equilibrium. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The IAEA meeting is paramount on investors' minds, because it has the potential to alter the demand supply equilibrium.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

We should see a retreat in prices after the US inventory data is released. That's because I expect a significant build in crude, in the range of five to six million barrels. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

We should see a retreat in prices after the US inventory data is released. That's because I expect a significant build in crude, in the range of five to six million barrels.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The gain in oil prices was a by-product of what happened to the gasoline inventories. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The gain in oil prices was a by-product of what happened to the gasoline inventories.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Gain

Yes, there is less supply in Nigeria but that is not enough to cut into oversupply. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Yes, there is less supply in Nigeria but that is not enough to cut into oversupply.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The period of forecasted warm weather in the United States has been extended to the first four weeks of the new year. This has driven the price of all energy commodities down. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The period of forecasted warm weather in the United States has been extended to the first four weeks of the new year. This has driven the price of all energy commodities down.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

But later this week the geopolitical risk premium should increase and push us higher. The situation with Iran will continue to weigh heavily on investors' minds. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

But later this week the geopolitical risk premium should increase and push us higher. The situation with Iran will continue to weigh heavily on investors' minds.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Now that the weather forecast has changed to predict warmer weather, the prices have come down quite significantly. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Now that the weather forecast has changed to predict warmer weather, the prices have come down quite significantly.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The seasonal effect of cold weather, stronger demand for heating oil, will pull higher the whole energy complex higher. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The seasonal effect of cold weather, stronger demand for heating oil, will pull higher the whole energy complex higher.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

A disruption could cause crude prices to really sky rocket. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

A disruption could cause crude prices to really sky rocket.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The hurricanes which battered the U.S Gulf Coast did not have the impact on the labor market as was earlier expected. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The hurricanes which battered the U.S Gulf Coast did not have the impact on the labor market as was earlier expected.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Fundamentals in the U.S. are bearish. Low U.S. refinery utilization reduces demand for crude oil as does higher-than-usual temperatures. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Fundamentals in the U.S. are bearish. Low U.S. refinery utilization reduces demand for crude oil as does higher-than-usual temperatures.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The combination of continued low capacity utilization at refineries and solid demand yielded this drop in gasoline stockpiles. So, gasoline prices rose and pulled everything else higher. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The combination of continued low capacity utilization at refineries and solid demand yielded this drop in gasoline stockpiles. So, gasoline prices rose and pulled everything else higher.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The reason for the rise is the increase in the geo-political risk premium because of the situation in Iran. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The reason for the rise is the increase in the geo-political risk premium because of the situation in Iran.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The geo-political risk premium is already fully priced at the level we closed at yesterday. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The geo-political risk premium is already fully priced at the level we closed at yesterday.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The risk premium on oil prices will continue to remain strong as long as supply flow problems, as in the case of Iraq, exist. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The risk premium on oil prices will continue to remain strong as long as supply flow problems, as in the case of Iraq, exist.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

As the winter season draws out to a close this quarter, the focus will be on gasoline stocks especially since demand has improved on-year. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

As the winter season draws out to a close this quarter, the focus will be on gasoline stocks especially since demand has improved on-year.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Gasoline prices rose and pulled everything else higher. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Gasoline prices rose and pulled everything else higher.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The report was a big surprise. Crude oil seems very ample. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The report was a big surprise. Crude oil seems very ample.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Because of the meeting of the IAEA on Monday, people do not want to go home short for the weekend. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Because of the meeting of the IAEA on Monday, people do not want to go home short for the weekend.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

OPEC and inventory data should put downward pressure on prices later today. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

OPEC and inventory data should put downward pressure on prices later today.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Typically second quarter demand for crude usually declines so if OPEC doesn't cut supplies, it will add to the already bearish fundamentals. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Typically second quarter demand for crude usually declines so if OPEC doesn't cut supplies, it will add to the already bearish fundamentals.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

There are indications that OPEC will not cut output. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

There are indications that OPEC will not cut output.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Typically, second-quarter demand for crude usually declines, so if OPEC doesn't cut supplies, it will add to the already bearish fundamentals. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Typically, second-quarter demand for crude usually declines, so if OPEC doesn't cut supplies, it will add to the already bearish fundamentals.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

What Bush said was very important because prior to his speech, prices were rising on comments from Iran. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

What Bush said was very important because prior to his speech, prices were rising on comments from Iran.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The Iranian situation is increasing the geopolitical risk premium that the market builds into the price of oil. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The Iranian situation is increasing the geopolitical risk premium that the market builds into the price of oil.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The events seem to be moving into a confrontation and the market is afraid what it will do to supply. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The events seem to be moving into a confrontation and the market is afraid what it will do to supply.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Supplies of heating oil are very low compared to other supplies of energy commodities. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Supplies of heating oil are very low compared to other supplies of energy commodities.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Right now the market supply for oil is tight. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Right now the market supply for oil is tight.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

Fundamentally we should go down because of the demand outlook related to weather. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

Fundamentally we should go down because of the demand outlook related to weather.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The use of heating oil is 17 pct down in the Northeast (US) ... this would mean less demand and a downward push on prices. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The use of heating oil is 17 pct down in the Northeast (US) ... this would mean less demand and a downward push on prices.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

The geopolitical risks are still there. Because of these risks, I expect crude prices to rebound. - Dariusz Kowalczyk Quotes

The geopolitical risks are still there. Because of these risks, I expect crude prices to rebound.

Dariusz Kowalczyk

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